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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| MrClaude11 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | BreakTheBank | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (264–238, n=502) | 41% (1101–1610, n=2711) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 54% (225–189, n=414) |
| Consensus PnL | $85K | $2.9M | $10.6M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #884 | PM monthly #410 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 57% (33 of 58 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=86 | College Basketball −9 pts, n=137 | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 489 at avg 52¢, ROI 0% | 40% of 3652 at avg 41¢, ROI −3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 20% of 60) | 34% (won 6% of 1254) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 20% (won 12% of 109) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 39% of 165) | 25% (won 36% of 922) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 21% (won 46% of 114) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 61% of 197) | 29% (won 64% of 1045) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 60% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 93% of 67) | 12% (won 89% of 431) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 26% (won 82% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MrClaude11 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | BreakTheBank | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.3K | Yes $274K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $214 | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $348 | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $3.5K | Yes $31K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $815 | No $30K | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $897 | Yes $22K | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $161 | Yes $2.6K | — |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $9 | Yes $230 | — |