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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
Multicoloured-SerfprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (233–260, n=493)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL-$316K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (26 of 43 open)67% (20 of 30 open)60% (135 of 225 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢47% (won 100% of 100)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢47% (won 100% of 101)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 13)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMulticoloured-SerfprimmRN1
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
UMass $105KBall State $2.9KUMass $831
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $78KEastern Michigan $2.0KCentral Michigan $5.9K
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan $52KEastern Michigan $7.5KCentral Michigan $587
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $37KEastern Michigan $3.4KCentral Michigan $18
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $2.4KToledo $2.4KSacramento State $631
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan $10Eastern Michigan $188Central Michigan $33
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
UMass $68KBall State $20K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $30K—Grizzlies $118
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $24K—Over $330
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.9K—Over $71
Spread: Ball State (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $2.8KBall State $281
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.1KUnder $3
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.6K—Over $90
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $996Sacramento State $524
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $589Sacramento State $842
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KUnder $228
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $811Over $410
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $277Sacramento State $466
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $198Sacramento State $62
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Nets $48—Hornets $129
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Pelicans $31K—Pelicans $126
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $24K—Hawks $678
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $15K—76ers $240
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Pelicans $15K—Pelicans $121
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $14K—Spurs $124
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $13K—Kings $253
Spread: UMass (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
Ball State $11K—Ball State $376
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $5.4K—Knicks $349
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $4.1KBall State $850
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.4KOver $182
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $2.0KToledo $1.3K
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $2.0KToledo $490
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $948Toledo $785
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.0K—Under $371
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $266Toledo $434
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2Toledo $651
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4—Over $131
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
CA Mineiro $2—CA Mineiro $65