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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMulticoloured-SerfprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)46% (263–303, n=566)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)
Consensus PnL$3.3M-$164K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #16PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (138 of 192 open)70% (7 of 10 open)no open consensus position51% (18 of 35 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)0% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)47% (won 100% of 100)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)47% (won 100% of 101)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)6% (won 100% of 13)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMulticoloured-SerfprimmRN1
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1KOver $664—Over $14
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Clippers $1.6KClippers $17K—Clippers $975
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $103Clippers $8.9K—Clippers $455
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K——Over $1.5K
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Heat $11KClippers $11——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $754——Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $831——Yes $61
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $309——No $10
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14——Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $28
Heat vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Heat
Clippers $9.4KClippers $55K——
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $136No $35K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.9KUnder $8.3K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $861——Quentin Halys $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $102——Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $249——Under $48
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $116——Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174——Under $42
Spread: Heat (-2.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Heat $2——Heat $12