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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NatoAlfista | CORGII | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (4078–4117, n=8195) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #994 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (17 of 28 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 2419 at avg 46¢, ROI +43% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 81% of 261) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 94% of 1153) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 97% of 993) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 83% of 12) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NatoAlfista | CORGII | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $89 | — | Chiefs $465K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $120 | — | Chiefs $152K | — |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A opposite sides · consensus Heroic | Heroic $246 | B8 $22K | — | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Broncos | Broncos $27 | — | Chiefs $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $167 | — | Magic $76K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $188 | — | Magic $51K | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic same side · consensus Celtics | Magic $141 | — | Magic $24K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $84 | — | Magic $13K | — |