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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| Optimus- | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (983–628, n=1611) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $91K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (32 of 57 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) | 47% (9 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −4 pts, n=48 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 1605 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 18% of 473) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 43% of 242) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 65% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 93% of 576) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Optimus- | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $493 | No $622K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | No $202K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.0K | Yes $270K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | Yes $170K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $161K | Commanders $3.6K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $473 | Yes $81K | — |