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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANBreakTheBankCORGIIbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)55% (719–596, n=1315)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$708K$10.6M$4.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #52PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus64% (16 of 25 open)74% (72 of 97 open)25% (1 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +41 pts n=88, ROI +45%
  • Esports +37 pts n=198, ROI +35%
  • NFL +35 pts n=75, ROI +43%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicElections ±0 pts, n=45——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won86% of 881 at avg 58¢, ROI +29%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 33% of 82)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 83% of 229)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 91% of 319)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 98% of 251)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketPEYZ-BIGGEST-FANBreakTheBankCORGIIbeachboy4
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $23KCommanders $43K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $21KYes $37K——
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $17KYes $38K——
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $10KChiefs $465K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.5KYes $16K——
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14KYes $4.1K——
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $590——