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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| PMTraderAdam | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 83% (699–146, n=845) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $29K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (46 of 51 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Mentions −5 pts, n=42 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 932 at avg 76¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 17% of 106) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 50% of 60) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 71% of 92) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 72% (won 96% of 674) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | PMTraderAdam | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.3K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | Yes $36K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | — | No $34K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | Yes $30K | — |