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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1sainttroplayprimmomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (941–941, n=1882)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)
Consensus PnL$13.4M$4.4M$3.4M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #181PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensus63% (20 of 32 open)no open consensus position47% (7 of 15 open)49% (36 of 74 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 56% of 2534)0%5% (won 93% of 43)8% (won 59% of 873)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5497)50% (won 100% of 5)41% (won 99% of 366)21% (won 86% of 2319)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 8897)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 433)38% (won 94% of 4154)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 100% of 7736)0%5% (won 100% of 41)32% (won 99% of 3497)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1sainttroplayprimmomnibus-076daa
Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite
opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite
Wilson Leite $12K——Andre Souza $1.0K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K—
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Liam Draxl $5.2K——Dylan Dietrich $36
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris
Ozan Baris $4.0K——Jangjun Kim $951
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Rams $1.0KChargers $304
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $228——Over $573
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1——Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $2
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $9.2K——Under $45
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Broncos $6.8KBroncos $687
Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
——Patriots $1.3KPatriots $70
Chargers vs. Rams
same side · consensus Rams
——Chargers $1.1KChargers $64
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Shunsuke Mitsui $5——Shunsuke Mitsui $452
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $30——Under $160