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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RelaccsedRN1sainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (979–715, n=1694)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL$10K$13.4M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus44% (17 of 39 open)45% (5 of 11 open)no open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGeopolitics −2 pts, n=459———
Settled positions, side won54% of 1193 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢32% (won 11% of 383)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 37% of 166)22% (won 94% of 5497)50% (won 100% of 5)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 57% of 156)36% (won 99% of 8897)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 92% of 488)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRelaccsedRN1sainttroplayprimm
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Commanders $10Commanders $2.3K—Eagles $3
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Commanders $5Commanders $23—Eagles $412
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $2.1K—Eagles $858
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Commanders $5——Eagles $2.5K
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Commanders $5——Eagles $1.3K
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $35Commanders $31K——
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $778—Under $1.5K