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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ScottyNooo | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 37% (313–542, n=855) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $910K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (77 of 141 open) | no open consensus position | 81% (58 of 72 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=308 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1112 at avg 45¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 4% of 557) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 32% of 77) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 55% of 44) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 96% of 434) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ScottyNooo | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10K | — | No $250K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | No $118K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.4K | — | Yes $36K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | No $34K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | Yes $270K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $40K | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $756 | — | Yes $14K | — |