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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SharkVisionRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)80% (327–84, n=411)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$108K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #537PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)59% (91 of 155 open)72% (79 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won76% of 324 at avg 71¢, ROI +1%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 12% of 58)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 50% of 18)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 75% of 44)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up63% (won 97% of 204)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSharkVisionRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $6.0KBrowns $255K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Leonardo Storck Franca $19KJose Pereira $129—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $423Raiders $17K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $2.7KFalcons $8.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $22KBills $378K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $4.3KRaiders $104K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $20K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $5No $4.1K—