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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SlavaUkraini | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (144–52, n=196) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) |
| Consensus PnL | $726K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #444 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (20 of 23 open) | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −3 pts, n=18 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 225 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 9% of 45) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 42% of 19) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 68% of 19) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 63% (won 96% of 142) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SlavaUkraini | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $317K | Yes $1.4K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $7.0K | No $35K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $106K | Yes $171K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $970 | No $101K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | Yes $72K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $55K | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $43K | No $607 | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $38K | Yes $4.9K | — | — |