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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SnapElectionAvoider | CORGII | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (907–846, n=1753) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $207K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #391 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (64 of 89 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto −26 pts, n=16 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 1671 at avg 48¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 42% (won 14% of 706) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 45% of 162) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 69% of 177) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 94% of 626) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SnapElectionAvoider | CORGII | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | — | Commanders $2.1K | Eagles $858 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $664 | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | — | Commanders $1.5K | Eagles $3 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $491 | Under $655 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | — | Commanders $23 | Eagles $412 |