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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Snoorrason | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (663–1374, n=2037) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $201K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 35% (6 of 17 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=58 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 2322 at avg 31¢, ROI +11% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 68% (won 9% of 1574) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 56% of 128) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 84) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 98% of 536) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Snoorrason | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.2K | — | — | Yes $272K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $15K | — | — | Yes $77K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $186 | — | — | Yes $37K |