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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunflowaRebuildYear | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (323–75, n=398) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #485 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (73 of 102 open) | 52% (62 of 119 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 281 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 9) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 58% (won 100% of 164) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 102) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunflowaRebuildYear | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.1K | — | Bills $51K | Bills $18K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $818 | — | — | Under $2.2K |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $805 | — | Bills $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $1.2K | — | — | Titans $696 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | — | Under $7.2K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $41 | — | — | Ravens $647 |