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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| Tenebrus7 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (2118–688, n=2806) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $128K | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #841 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (99 of 115 open) | 78% (42 of 54 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=382 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 3190 at avg 70¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 7% of 540) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 37% of 188) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 58% of 325) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 92% of 2137) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Tenebrus7 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $575 | Yes $65K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.1K | Yes $38K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $710 | No $35K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $492 | Yes $19K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $335 | Yes $14K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $80 | Yes $5.0K |