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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UbuntuTrading | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (1752–1907, n=3659) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $117K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (39 of 76 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=195 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 35% of 3786 at avg 35¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 64% (won 6% of 2407) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 37% of 153) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 68% of 159) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 1067) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UbuntuTrading | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $47 | — | — | No $407K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $112 | — | — | Yes $274K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $105 | — | — | Yes $81K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $144 | — | — | Yes $30K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $3.8K | Commanders $188K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $56 | — | — | No $34K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $52 | — | — | Yes $15K |
| Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | — | Yes $200 |