← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (17998–18484, n=36482) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (117 of 187 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $559 | Chiefs $465K | — | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $4.0K | Chiefs $152K | — | — |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz | Legacy $870 | — | — | TheMongolz $2.2K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $55 | Magic $51K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $104 | Magic $13K | — | — |
| Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs same side · consensus DENDELE CS | Imperial $78 | — | — | Imperial $7.9K |