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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
UpTheBluesRN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)49% (18112–18572, n=36684)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (537–650, n=1187)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #7PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus65% (42 of 65 open)48% (13 of 27 open)no open consensus position79% (57 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=942, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=66, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 99% of 2645)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 7907)22% (won 94% of 5497)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 100% of 8513)36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 18795)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketUpTheBluesRN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Eagles $10Eagles $1.2K—Commanders $32K
Eagles vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Eagles $1.2K——Commanders $1.0M
Taipei: Evan Zhu vs Yuta Shimizu
opposite sides · consensus Yuta Shimizu
Yuta Shimizu $1.4KEvan Zhu $320——
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $909Over $33——
Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 2 - 2 Club León FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $310——
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $189Lakers $11——
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Commanders $100Eagles $27——
Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11Over $10——
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $3.6K—Commanders $161K
Spread: Commanders (-14.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $33KEagles $4——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $15KNo $7.6K——
Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura
same side · consensus Yanki Erel
Yanki Erel $2.0KYanki Erel $10K——
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Eagles $294Eagles $3.7K——
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Christian Langmo
same side · consensus Christian Langmo
Jake Delaney $4Jake Delaney $2.4K——
Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Club León FC?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0KNo $453——
Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $175No $166——
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Raptors $64Raptors $4——
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $4Over $44——