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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| Vilgefortz | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (191–58, n=249) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | $368K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #782 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (14 of 16 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | 61% (91 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=63 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 316 at avg 78¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 14% of 44) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 44% of 16) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 63% of 19) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 75% (won 94% of 237) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Vilgefortz | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $387K | Ravens $727 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $300K | Steelers $91 |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $259K | Steelers $3.6K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $105K | Jets $257 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.8K | No $88K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $32K | Cowboys $21 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $2.7K | Cowboys $644 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $35K | Bills $37 |