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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
WordleAddictBreakTheBank00gringo00RN1
Record (consensus markets)59% (574–404, n=978)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$672K$10.6M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #317 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (13 of 17 open)73% (72 of 98 open)no open consensus position61% (28 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicEsports −12 pts, n=45———
Settled positions, side won53% of 1140 at avg 50¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 9% of 383)10% (won 85% of 53)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 44% of 151)36% (won 98% of 192)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 64% of 209)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 94% of 397)20% (won 100% of 107)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketWordleAddictBreakTheBank00gringo00RN1
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $72KYes $37K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $36KNo $35K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $36KNo $40K——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51K—Magic $228
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $30KNo $590——
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12KYes $4.1K——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13K—Magic $161