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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| XAE12Archangel | CORGII | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (362–228, n=590) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $159K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (20 of 26 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −14 pts, n=25 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 83% of 958 at avg 81¢, ROI −5% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 5% of 119) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 43% of 37) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 72% of 36) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 80% (won 97% of 766) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | XAE12Archangel | CORGII | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $945 | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $44K | Eagles $1.3K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.8K | — | No $34K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18 | — | Yes $15K | — |