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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Zaratustra | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (319–200, n=519) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $65K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #706 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (52 of 65 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −1 pts, n=56 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 446 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 5% of 98) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 41% of 39) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 64% of 77) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 92% of 232) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Zaratustra | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $123 | No $250K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.9K | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.8K | No $34K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | Yes $274K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $188 | Yes $81K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $83 | Yes $14K | — | — |