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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

a8999: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)66% (877–458, n=1335)
Consensus PnL$6.1M$11.0M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #12
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)53% (60 of 113 open)73% (27 of 37 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 201)20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 196)24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankndb1
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $77KNo $1.9M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $418No $1.4M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $131KYes $822K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $331KYes $604K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $287KNo $79K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $50KNo $832
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $236KYes $321K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $42KNo $133K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28KYes $12K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.6KNo $7.1K
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $167No $3.2K