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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
acorpBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (599–587, n=1186)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$85K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #655PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)73% (80 of 109 open)58% (85 of 146 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +12 pts n=384, ROI +11%
  • NBA +9 pts n=192, ROI +5%
  • MMA +14 pts n=66, ROI +8%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNHL −8 pts, n=103——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1015 at avg 56¢, ROI +6%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 28% of 132)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 51% of 290)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 65% of 281)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 90% of 312)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketacorpBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $109
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378KBills $25K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51KBills $18K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $2.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $1.1K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161