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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
alex20011BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (2858–2667, n=5525)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)
Consensus PnL$196K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #41PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (11 of 17 open)70% (57 of 82 open)62% (86 of 139 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +10 pts n=54, ROI +4%
  • MLB +3 pts n=12, ROI +32%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicElections ±0 pts, n=204——
Settled positions, side won72% of 1349 at avg 71¢, ROI +10%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 10% of 228)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 50% of 123)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 146)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up63% (won 93% of 852)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketalex20011BreakTheBankRN1
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $387KRavens $703
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $300KSteelers $51
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $259KSteelers $3.4K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $105KJets $255
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $32KCowboys $23
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.3K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $2.7KCowboys $611