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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alex20011 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (2858–2673, n=5531) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $196K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #41 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (28 of 34 open) | 71% (73 of 103 open) | 66% (101 of 153 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=204 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 1349 at avg 71¢, ROI +10% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 10% of 228) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 50% of 123) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 146) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 63% (won 93% of 852) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alex20011 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $5.5K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $171K | Jets $192 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $11K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.4K | Yes $38K | — | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $400 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $2.3K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $35K | Cardinals $714 | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.7K | No $24K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $20K | Jaguars $643 | — |