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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat11beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5430–4794, n=10224)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$78K$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #943was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus54% (28 of 52 open)100% (1 of 1 open)64% (97 of 151 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won56% of 249 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 6% of 47)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 33% of 58)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 67% of 64)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 93% of 80)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat11beachboy4RN1
Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2—No $15K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7—No $5.5K
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1—Under $3.0K
Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $1.3K
CS Marítimo vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3—Over $1.2K
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $366
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3—Under $228
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $3—Magic $223
Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sport Boys Association
Sport Boys Association $3—Cusco FC $143
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6—Under $136
Académico de Viseu FC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5—Under $32
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5—Under $5.9K
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar $2—Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K
CS Marítimo vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7—Under $23
Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3—Over $20
Cusco FC vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4—Under $17