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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| apmt | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 76% (61–19, n=80) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $79K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #930 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (19 of 19 open) | 53% (33 of 62 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 89 at avg 76¢, ROI +9% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 50% of 4) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 50% of 4) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 67% of 12) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 97% of 69) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | apmt | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $30K | — | — | No $184K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.5K | — | — | No $35K |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $75 | — | — | No $10K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.4K | — | — | Yes $272K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8.4K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | — | Yes $4.7K |