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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| archaic | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (1289–176, n=1465) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $167K | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (50 of 57 open) | 53% (58 of 109 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Mentions −1 pts, n=12 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 1740 at avg 79¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 4% of 275) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 30% of 27) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 72% of 68) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 79% (won 98% of 1370) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | archaic | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | — | No $184K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.8K | — | Yes $77K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | — | No $35K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $949 | — | Yes $1.1K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $552 | — | Yes $169K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |