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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| balerinacapuchina | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (169–40, n=209) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $36K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #429 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (46 of 57 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 83% of 164 at avg 75¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 22% of 18) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 25% of 4) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 85% of 26) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 71% (won 94% of 116) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | balerinacapuchina | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.4K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | — | — | No $112K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.1K | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | — | — | No $34K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | — | — | No $26K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $28K | — | Commanders $1.1M |