← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14256–15876, n=30132) | 62% (361–221, n=582) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $14.8M | $322K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #543 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 69% (75 of 109 open) | 54% (33 of 61 open) | 70% (14 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 47% of 617 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 45% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 17% (won 43% of 107) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 13% (won 82% of 78) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 25% (won 95% of 152) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | whig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $239K | — | Yes $2.6K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $181K | — | Yes $6.0K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $71K | — | Yes $444 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $41K | — | Yes $949 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.3K | — | Yes $3.6K |