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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankcryingbabydicer87Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (9925–9789, n=19714)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)
Consensus PnL—$7.7M$39K$4.1M
Tracked as—PM monthly #1was PM monthly #699PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (43 of 59 open)87% (139 of 160 open)73% (140 of 192 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Crypto −2 pts, n=4195Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%51% of 4583 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)41% (won 8% of 1884)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)13% (won 39% of 591)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)8% (won 71% of 373)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)38% (won 97% of 1735)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankcryingbabydicer87Flaznorp
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $4.9K—76ers $797
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $339K—No $109K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $49K—Colts $63
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $24KYes $2—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $19KYes $11—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.4KYes $4—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $2.6K—Bulls $215