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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
betdgeFlaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)49% (1308–1343, n=2651)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL$132K$4.1M$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #874PM monthly #9PM monthly #114PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus29% (4 of 14 open)71% (130 of 182 open)73% (73 of 100 open)59% (23 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNFL −4 pts, n=565Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won49% of 2386 at avg 48¢, ROI −1%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 19% of 388)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 40% of 874)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 834)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 84% of 290)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbetdgeFlaznorpndb1primm
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
Commanders $970Commanders $320—Commanders $285
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.1K—Panthers $6.6K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.4K—Chiefs $48K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $680——Under $6.8K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $63—Colts $5.7K
Browns vs. Saints
same side · consensus Saints
Browns $131——Browns $113