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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| borntoolate.eth | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (222–84, n=306) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $142K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 53% (57 of 107 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=103 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 335 at avg 62¢, ROI −6% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 8% of 102) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 62% of 34) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 81% of 26) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 98% of 173) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | borntoolate.eth | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $12K | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.4K | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |