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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brobrobrobrobroFlaznorpprimmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)84% (52–10, n=62)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL-$54K$4.1M$3.6M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #827PM monthly #16PM monthly #46PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)72% (99 of 137 open)40% (2 of 5 open)78% (7 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won97% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI −4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 50% of 2)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 100% of 2)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 100% of 8)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 17)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbrobrobrobrobroFlaznorpprimmS-Works
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.6K—Over $44K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
T1 $1.3K——T1 $863K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $900——Bilibili Gaming $744K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $273—Bilibili Gaming $386K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $36K——Bilibili Gaming $154K
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $3.2K—Pelicans $52K