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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bullishkirby | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (101–33, n=134) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $85K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #928 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 6 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 46% (6 of 13 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 120 at avg 80¢, ROI +6% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 22% of 9) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 88% of 8) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 82% of 11) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 77% (won 99% of 92) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bullishkirby | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $38K | — | — | Yes $274K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14K | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $28K | Commanders $1.1M |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $25K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $134 | — | — | Yes $85K |