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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cocococococo00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)51% (1051–1030, n=2081)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$97K$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #883 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus78% (115 of 148 open)no open consensus position72% (79 of 110 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=231——
Settled positions, side won50% of 3250 at avg 49¢, ROI +1%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 10% of 715)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 43% of 937)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 60% of 894)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 90% of 704)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketcocococococo00gringo00BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.7K—No $184K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13K—No $35K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $37K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $625—No $24K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3K—No $10K
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $250—No $2.4K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.8K—Yes $272K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $89K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.4K—Yes $4.1K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $857—Yes $4.7K