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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cocos228 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (61–30, n=91) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $537K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #607 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (13 of 15 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 83% of 98 at avg 80¢, ROI +13% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 25% of 4) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 3) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 67% of 12) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 81% (won 89% of 79) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cocos228 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.0K | No $411K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | No $184K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.0K | Yes $56K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $52K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $21K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $11K | No $40K | — | — |