← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| denizz | e46m3 | ndb1 | Vanchalkenstein | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (172–74, n=246) | 32% (520–1095, n=1615) | 57% (293–219, n=512) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $2.3M | $536K | $4.6M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #154 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #158 | PM monthly #603 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (24 of 27 open) | 74% (319 of 434 open) | 73% (65 of 89 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 7% (won 11% of 46) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 1% (won 86% of 7) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 1% (won 75% of 8) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 90% (won 100% of 565) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.