← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| elmcap2 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (1222–161, n=1383) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.3M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #87 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 99% (72 of 73 open) | 58% (84 of 145 open) | 73% (79 of 108 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Politics −2 pts, n=247 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 1881 at avg 90¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 11) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 33% of 81) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 61% of 179) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 86% (won 97% of 1610) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | elmcap2 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $945K | — | No $184K |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $1.9K | Browns $297K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $109 | Raiders $17K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $25K | Bills $378K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $4.3K | Raiders $104K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $18K | Bills $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.7K | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |