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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1TSFSYD
Record (consensus markets)43% (11778–15356, n=27134)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)63% (1101–635, n=1736)29% (40–99, n=139)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$4.6M$28K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #109PM monthly #973
Sides with the consensus69% (11 of 16 open)68% (97 of 143 open)70% (68 of 97 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +12 pts n=14, ROI +7%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158Tennis −12 pts, n=83
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%26% of 121 at avg 34¢, ROI −11%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)64% (won 3% of 78)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)13% (won 25% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)16% (won 100% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1TSFSYD
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
opposite sides · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
Ugo Blanchet $3Buvaysar Gadamauri $5.8K——
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141Yes $2.8K——
Monastir: Yannik Kelm vs Pedro Vives Marcos
opposite sides · consensus Pedro Vives Marcos
Yannik Kelm $1Pedro Vives Marcos $2.1K——
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $2.0KHornets $156——
Counter-Strike: maybe vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-In
opposite sides · consensus maybe
maybe $41MASONIC $4——
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $24KAdrian Andreev $3.4K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $166
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $2.9K——
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Sri Lanka Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
Afghanistan Under-19s $35Afghanistan Under-19s $49——