← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ghorrock | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6254–5679, n=11933) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$18K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #509 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (133 of 172 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 2127 at avg 72¢, ROI +10% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 85% of 95) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 100% of 373) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 414) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 100% of 1245) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ghorrock | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $70 | Yes $64K | — | — |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $371 | — | — | Yes $68 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $225 | Yes $22K | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $285 | Yes $15K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $62 | Yes $14K | — | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $26 | Yes $2.6K | — | — |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | Yes $1.3K | — | — |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | Yes $296 | — | — |