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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| hedgevaultmainnet1 | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (2121–1771, n=3892) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | -$110K | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #813 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (30 of 51 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (91 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 1390 at avg 66¢, ROI +20% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 61% of 100) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 92% of 218) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 97% of 376) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 696) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hedgevaultmainnet1 | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $559 | — | No $2.4K |
| Will US Lecce win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $12 | — | No $2.7K |
| Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6 | — | Under $640 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $94 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $229 | — | No $23K |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $103 | — | No $14K |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $41 | — | Yes $10K |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $642 | — | Yes $7.4K |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | Yes $80 | — | Yes $5.8K |
| Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $74 | — | Over $4.9K |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $8 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers same side · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $594 | — | Falcons $884 |
| Will Elche CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $604 | — | Yes $38 |
| Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5 | — | Over $144 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $5 | — | No $70 |
| Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $4 | — | Yes $2 |