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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| iWasEnough | surfandturf | pleaseplease123 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (7478–6494, n=13972) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 49% (346–353, n=699) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $37K | $4.1M | $3.2M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #335 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (65 of 98 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (148 of 165 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=303 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 1914 at avg 47¢, ROI +1% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 17% of 507) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 38% of 559) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 64% of 461) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 92% of 387) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.