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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justaluckydude | beachboy4 | CORGII | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5051–3478, n=8529) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $5.8M | $4.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (18 of 33 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 152) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 833) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 1457) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1025) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justaluckydude | beachboy4 | CORGII | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Commanders $894 | — | — | Eagles $1.3K |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $39 | — | — | Eagles $858 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $58 | — | — | Eagles $412 |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $92 | — | — | Eagles $3 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2.2K | — | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Commanders (-3.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Eagles $313 | — | — | Eagles $2.5K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Under $655 |