← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lug | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (1896–1560, n=3456) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) |
| Consensus PnL | $67K | $11.0M | -$6.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #876 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (26 of 38 open) | 87% (143 of 165 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (27 of 48 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=166 | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 3622 at avg 53¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 15% of 357) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 45% of 1182) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 56% of 1397) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 84% of 686) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lug | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | Yes $31K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.2K | Yes $274K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $507 | Yes $172K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $9 | Yes $30K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | Yes $344 | — | — |