← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| milkteaboba | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (36–19, n=55) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$863K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #127 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 30% (3 of 10 open) | 33% (4 of 12 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −6 pts, n=40 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 50 at avg 68¢, ROI −9% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 67% of 3) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 58% of 19) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 77% of 26) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | milkteaboba | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.0K | — | No $250K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $62K | — | Yes $36K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $964 | — | Yes $75K | — |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.7K | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $31K | Commanders $1.1M | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $33K | — | No $278K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $23 | — | Yes $32K | — |