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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mr.oziCORGIIbeachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)70% (975–409, n=1384)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$884K$4.5M$5.8M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #89 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus88% (14 of 16 open)25% (1 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)74% (72 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −4 pts, n=37—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won72% of 1566 at avg 67¢, ROI +4%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 13% of 243)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 47% of 150)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 66% of 236)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 93% of 937)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketmr.oziCORGIIbeachboy4BreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $70K——Yes $37K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $42K——No $35K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5.2K——Yes $4.1K