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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | RN1 | VictorLudorum | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) | 54% (4634–3878, n=8512) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $14.8M | $154K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #22 + pinned | PM monthly #173 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (28 of 38 open) | 58% (49 of 85 open) | 70% (181 of 258 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | Elections −1 pts, n=1079 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 67% of 4851 at avg 68¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 27% (won 2% of 1290) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 4% (won 35% of 183) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 5% (won 59% of 227) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 65% (won 97% of 3151) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.